{"id":454,"date":"2025-10-06T07:30:38","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T07:30:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/qloudtechnologies.com\/blog\/?p=454"},"modified":"2025-10-06T07:30:39","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T07:30:39","slug":"bitcoin-bull-run-nearing-its-peak-glassnode-warns-of-final-surge-before-major-correction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qloudtechnologies.com\/blog\/bitcoin-bull-run-nearing-its-peak-glassnode-warns-of-final-surge-before-major-correction\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bull Run Nearing Its Peak? Glassnode Warns of Final Surge Before Major Correction"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin\u2019s record-breaking rally might be entering its final stretch \u2014 analysts warn that euphoria could soon give way to exhaustion.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcb9 Bitcoin\u2019s Record High and Sudden Reversal<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin recently surged to a new all-time high of $125,708<\/strong> on Bitstamp, igniting fresh optimism across the crypto market. However, the excitement faded quickly as:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • BTC fell below\u00a0$123,000<\/strong>\u00a0within hours<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Traders described the move as a\u00a0\u201cSunday fakeout\u201d<\/strong>, fueled by thin weekend liquidity<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • The price has since stabilized near\u00a0$124,000<\/strong>, keeping market sentiment uncertain<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Despite the brief pullback, Bitcoin remains near record levels, with investors split between anticipation of another breakout and fear of an incoming correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/div>\n\n\n\n

    \u26a0\ufe0f Glassnode\u2019s Warning: The Bull Run\u2019s Final Phase<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    On-chain analytics firm Glassnode<\/strong>, led by co-founders Jan Happel and Yan Allemann<\/strong> (aka Negentropic<\/em>), has cautioned that Bitcoin could reach its cycle top within four to five weeks<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Their insights are based on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Historical cycle patterns<\/strong>, showing similar late-stage euphoria before past peaks<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Profit-to-loss ratios<\/strong>, which haven\u2019t yet reached extreme overbought conditions<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Long-term holder activity<\/strong>, indicating gradual profit-taking rather than full-scale distribution<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n

      \u201cThe market appears euphoric,\u201d they said, \u201cbut key peak indicators haven\u2019t yet hit extremes.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

      This implies that Bitcoin might have one last upward surge<\/strong> left before the market transitions into its cooling phase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

      \ud83d\udcca Can Bitcoin Still Climb Higher?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Some experts \u2014 like Fundstrat\u2019s Tom Lee<\/strong> \u2014 believe Bitcoin could still surpass $200,000 by year-end<\/strong>. But Glassnode\u2019s outlook<\/strong> suggests that such a move is unlikely in the short term<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      According to Polymarket data<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • Only\u00a01% probability<\/strong>\u00a0of BTC reaching $200K in October<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Around\u00a07% chance<\/strong>\u00a0before the end of 2025<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        Still, analysts highlight several bullish factors<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • Bitcoin is\u00a0underperforming previous bull markets by ~10%<\/strong>, leaving potential upside<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • If BTC matches its\u00a02021 ratio to gold<\/strong>, it could theoretically rise\u00a0above $150,000<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • Institutional inflows remain strong, driven by ETF demand and macro uncertainty<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          <\/div>\n\n\n\n

          \ud83d\udd0d Key Support and Market Sentiment<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

          Bitcoin\u2019s $120K\u2013$123K range<\/strong> now acts as a critical support zone<\/strong>. Traders are watching this area closely because:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          • A\u00a0break below<\/strong>\u00a0could spark a deeper correction<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • Holding\u00a0above support<\/strong>\u00a0might set up another\u00a0leg higher<\/strong>\u00a0before the top<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

            Market indicators hint at rising volatility as traders position for either:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            • A\u00a0parabolic final breakout<\/strong>, or<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • A\u00a0longer consolidation phase<\/strong>\u00a0before the next correction<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

              If Glassnode\u2019s late-October to mid-November<\/strong> timeline is accurate, Bitcoin could soon enter its \u201cgrand finale\u201d<\/strong> \u2014 a stage marked by rapid gains followed by sharp reversals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              <\/div>\n\n\n\n

              \ud83e\udde0 AI Satoshi\u2019s Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
              \n

              Such late-cycle behavior reflects euphoria meeting exhaustion<\/strong> \u2014 a recurring pattern in Bitcoin\u2019s history. On-chain data suggests momentum persists but is waning, with profit-taking and reduced long-term holder activity signaling an approaching transition. The market\u2019s resilience now hinges on whether decentralized conviction outweighs speculative greed<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

              <\/div>\n\n\n\n
              \n